NEWS
& POLITICS: September 17

Wesley Clark is
Karl Rove's
worst nightmare

by Lowell Feld

Editors' Note: We originally ran this piece in July, and the response has been overwhelming. Now that Clark is set to formally announce his candidacy, we figure it's time (again) to introduce you to candidate Wesley Clark. Any bad dreams yet, Karl?
Throughout its history, in times of war and in times of peace alike,
America has turned to generals and other military men to serve as
their president. Some, like George Washington and Dwight D. Eisenhower,
turned out to be excellent in the job. Others -- Ulysses S. Grant,
William Henry Harrison, Andrew Johnson -- are considered by most
historians to have been miserable failures. In and of itself, therefore,
being a general certainly does not guarantee that one will make
a good president.
On the other hand, having little or no military experience doesn't
necessarily make someone a bad president. Take Franklin Delano Roosevelt,
for instance, one of our greatest war-time leaders, with no military
background to speak of except for his service as Assistant Secretary
of the Navy under Woodrow Wilson. Or, how about Ronald Reagan, also
with minimal military experience -- he was stationed on the bloody
Hollywood front during World War II -- who conservatives credit
with having restored America to greatness and winning the Cold War?
The idea of electing a general, or a military man in general, as
President of the United States has had an enduring popular appeal.
Including America's first president, General George Washington,
the United States has had 12 generals (including two who served
in state militias), five colonels, three majors, four lieutenant
commanders, three captains, four lieutenants, and one private as
president. That's a total of 32 military veterans (31 officers)
out of 36 Presidents, or nearly 90 percent of the total. Strikingly,
every single president elected during the Cold War, a time of war
and the constant threat of nuclear annihilation, had previously
been an officer in the U.S. military. And now, after a decade of
peace and prosperity, we are, de facto, at war again.
For Democratic presidential candidates in an era of war and terror,
military experience may prove to be crucial, because for years now
-- justifiably or not -- Democrats have been widely perceived as
far weaker than Republicans on national security matters. In times
of peace and tranquility, this might not have mattered very much.
Bill Clinton, for instance, was elected in 1992 (and reelected in
1996) shortly after the Cold War ended, despite having dodged the
draft in Vietnam. In times of war like the present, it's a different
story.
It may be as much a matter of perception as reality, but after
9/11, in the midst of war (against terror, Iraq, and possibly North
Korea and Iran) and economic tough times (unemployment 6.4 percent
in June, its highest level since 1994), Americans today rightfully
feel anxious and vulnerable. They crave security, both against being
killed by terrorists as well as against losing their jobs, their
pensions, and their health care. Today, Americans are yearning for
a president who can protect and reassure them in these fundamental
areas.
All this bad news is starting to show up in U.S. public opinion.
According to the latest Ipsos-Reid/Cook Political Report (July 22-24),
only 40% of Americans believe the country is on the "right
track." This compares to a 70 percent "right track"
response in December 2001, just three months after 9/11. And the
latest Zogby poll (July 16-17) has President Bush's "favorability
rating" down to 57 percent, from a high of 82 percent in April
2002, with only 47 percent of Americans now saying Bush is someone
they "can trust" (Time/CNN Poll, July 16-17). Finally,
for the first time since 9/11, according to Zogby (July 16-17) fewer
Americans (46 percent) now say that Bush "deserves reelection"
compared to those who say they would prefer "someone new"
(47 percent).
President Bush appears politically vulnerable now, for the first
time since 9/11. But, even if the polls are accurate, and Bush remains
vulnerable through November 2004, how do the Democrats convince
Americans that they are tough enough to deal with the challenges
that lie ahead, that they offer a worthy alternative, that they
have a plan and vision of their own? Even more crucially, in this
time of war, terrorism, and economic anxiety, how do the Democrats
dispose of their "wussiness" image and convince people
they're up to the job of leading America?
Two possibilities spring to mind. First, the country could win
the "war on terrorism" quickly and decisively, allowing
it to return to its big 1990's party and to forget all about terrorism
and threats from abroad. Unfortunately, the chances of this happening
over the next 15 months are about as high as the current price of
Enron stock. That leaves option number two: the Democrats get a
backbone and a vision.
Unfortunately for the Democratic Party, it is unlikely that any
of its current presidential candidates have this combination of
backbone and vision: the sharp-tongued "Vermont Liberal"
(Howard Dean); the aristocratic "Massachusetts Liberal"
(John Kerry); the inexperienced, poll-driven, trial lawyer (John
Edwards); the left-wing, pacifist flake (Dennis Kucinich); the totally
unqualified rabble-rouser (Al Sharpton); the crowd of old guys with
the charisma of cold Velveeta (Dick Gephardt, Joe Lieberman, Bob
Graham); or the woman in search of an even semi-plausible rationale
for being a presidential candidate (Carol Moseley Braun).
Let's be blunt here. After the carnage of 9/11, the only Democratic
presidential candidate with a prayer in hell of beating George W.
Bush in November 2004 is going to have to be irreproachable on military
and national security matters. Being tough, smart, southern, mainstream,
no-nonsense, distinguished-looking, and skilled on TV would be nice,
too. Yeah, right, you say, good luck finding all that! Well, how
about if we add that the person must have a vision for America,
significant "real world" experience, and a heck of a lot
more brain cells than George "Dubya" Bush?
AWOL flyboy Bush doesn't
stand a chance.
Well, you say, call the election for George W. Bush right now, because
nobody, certainly not a Democrat, could possibly be that great.
Or could he? Well, cue the drum roll please, because now, ladies
and gentlemen, we are pleased to introduce an Officer and a Gentleman,
a man with a plan, a brain, and control over his zipper, your next
president, General Wesley K. Clark! (wild applause)
All kidding aside, who is this guy, Wesley Clark, who for months
now has been toying with throwing his hat in the presidential ring,
sparring with Tim Russert on "Meet the Press," and accepting
interviews with numerous leading newspapers and magazines? Aside
from Clark's stellar resume -- Rhodes Scholar, first in his class
at West Point, four-star general, wounded and highly decorated in
Vietnam, former Supreme Commander of NATO forces in Europe during
the successful Kosovo campaign -- what does he stand for exactly?
Let's start with domestic issues. On health care and education,
Clark waxes rhapsodic that in the U.S. military, "everyone
[gets] healthcare, and the army care[s] about the education of everyone's
family members." Does this mean Clark would support some form
of national health care and expanded educational opportunities for
all? Sure sounds like it.
On two hot-button social issues, Clark's views are eclectic, and
that's not necessarily a bad thing politically. On abortion, Clark
is pro-choice, although he hasn't spoken much on this issue (strategically
the less said, the better?). And on guns, Clark believes -- like
Howard Dean, incidentally -- that gun ownership is mainly a local
issue. In fact, Clark is a hunter, which may endear him to many
in rural America.
On economic policy, Clark is a strong opponent of the Bush tax
cuts for the wealthy because they "weren't fair." More
broadly, Clark appears philosophically to be strongly in tune with
the "Teddy Roosevelt Progressive" tradition, championing
the principle that "the more [money] you make, the more you
give" in both absolute and relative terms. But before anyone
concludes that Wesley Clark is a "tax and spend liberal,"
it is important to note that Clark is a fiscal moderate who questions
whether running long-term deficits is "wise, long-run policy."
On the environment, Clark has opposed drilling for oil in the Arctic
National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR), and has even articulated the visionary
concept that "100 years out, the only things we leave behind
that will matter are the environment and constitutional legitimacy."
Imagine George W. Bush saying something like that? How about any
U.S. president? Well, Teddy Roosevelt, whose face happens to be
on Mount Rushmore, not only made statements like that, he acted
on them.
In stark contrast to George W. Bush on foreign policy, Clark is
a firm believer in the importance of cooperating with allies, having
actually done so as Commander of NATO forces in Europe. Not surprisingly,
then, Clark has criticized the Bush administration strongly for
its bullheaded unilateralism and utter ineptitude in working with
U.S. allies in Europe and elsewhere. In September 2002, for instance,
Clark wrote in "Washington Monthly" that Bush's failure
to work with our allies, NATO in particular, means that "we
are fighting the war on terrorism with one hand tied behind our
back."
On homeland security, Clark is certainly a patriot who believes
in protecting our country, having taken a few bullets himself, but
he also, unlike Bush, is wise enough to treasure the values upon
which this country was founded. Clark is skeptical and suspicious,
therefore, of shortsighted, Orwellian measures enacted in the name
of national security, like the Patriot Act. Specifically Clark worries
that we're "giving up some of the essentials of what it is
in America to have justice, liberty and the rule of law."
So, there you have it: Wesley Clark is a political moderate, a
war hero, a smart-as-hell, telegenic, electable Southerner with
"General" for a first name and a vision for America. Another
way of looking at Clark is that he's potentially Bill Clinton in
all the good ways (smart, centrist, and charismatic), but without
Clinton's problems (wine, women, and bad sax playing). And the four
stars on each of Clark's shoulders stand in stark contrast to George
W. Bush, who went AWOL from his National Guard duty. Can we start
the Presidential debates right now?
One problem, though: although Clark has hinted broadly at his interest
in running, he has not yet declared formally that he is running
for President. How to rectify this situation? Enter the large, energetic,
and vocal "Draft Clark" movement that has sprung up across
the country in just the past few months. As John Hlinko, founder
of DraftWesleyClark.com and one of the top leaders in
the nationwide effort to "draft the General," puts it,
"[General Clark] is the kind of guy who we were promised, as
kids, could be a president. And now, with our nudging, he might
be."
Overstatement? Maybe, but without even having entered the race,
Clark has attracted a loyal group of supporters. At the July 7 Draft
Clark "Meetup" held in Washington DC, just one of the
many cities hosting these meetings, dozens of Clark supporters expressed
their strong desire to replace George W. Bush, while describing
Clark as "intellectually gifted," with a "plan and
a vision," who "knows how to work with -- not alienate
-- our allies," while "not preying on people's fears."
They also believe he "can cut through the whole 'Red America/Blue
America' divide," and -- last but not least -- beat Bush.
If Clark does decide to run, we can just imagine the thoughts that
might go through White House political guru Karl Rove's brain as
he tries to sleep, tossing and turning: "No, not a 2004 match-up
of a war hero, four-star General from the South against my guy --
AWOL "pilot" George Dubya! My God, I can see Clark pounding
Bush relentlessly in the final presidential debate on what were
supposed to be George's strong points-foreign policy and homeland
security! Uh oh, now we're onto economic issues, and Bush is floundering,
sinking fast. And now it's election night, and Clark is winning
all the "blue" states that Al Gore won in 2000, plus some
"red" states too-including his home state of Arkansas.
And, horror of horrors, Fox News just called Florida, and the election,
for Clark by a landslide, with no chads or recounts this time. As
Rove wakes up in a cold sweat, and as we leave his brain forever,
we hear him muttering, "What a nightmare! what was that about?"
Well, Karl, it's about the threat General Wesley Clark poses to
your candidate's reelection chances. It's also about the potential
for a veritable epidemic of cold-sweat syndrome breaking out amongst
Republican politicians and political consultants all over America.
To put it bluntly, Clark could kick George W. Bush's butt in 2004.
Regarding a Bush-Clark matchup in 2004, and paraphrasing the immortal
words of that "straight shootin' Texan," George W. Bush
himself: "Bring It On!"
About
Lowell Feld
As a child, Lowell Feld's ambitions
were to be rich, famous, and politically powerful. In his 20s and
30s, he decided to settle for sexy and popular while paying off
the exorbitant loans from his Ivy League education and Masters Degree
in Middle East Studies. Now, at age 40, and having achieved absolutely
none of his goals, he sits around thinking "deep thoughts,"
ventures off occasionally to backpack around Third World hellholes,
and takes out his frustrations at the world by writing for snarky
Web 'zines like Gusto.
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